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16省份去年CPI涨幅超全国

来源: 南方日报网络版     时间: 2019年06月20日 19:47:28
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(  据)(《经)(济)(参)(考)(报)(》记)(者)(统)(计)(,截)(至)(发)(稿)(,除)(甘)(肃)(、西)(藏)(外)(,已)(有)(29省)((自)(治)(区)(、直)(辖)(市)()公)(布)(了)(当)(地)(2013年)(地)(区)(居)(民)(消)(费)(价)(格)(指)(数)((CPI),其)(中)(16省)((自)(治)(区)(、直)(辖)(市)()年)(度)(CPI同)(比)(涨)(幅)(超)(过)(了)(2.6%的)(全)(国)(水)(平)(。  从)(统)(计)(数)(据)(来)(看)(,29省)((自)(治)(区)(、直)(辖)(市)()中)(CPI同)(比)(涨)(幅)(最)(高)(的)(是)(青)(海)(,达)(到)(4%,随)(后)(是)(新)(疆)(的)(3.9%和)(宁)(夏)(的)(3.4%。虽)(然)(记)(者)(尚)(未)(掌)(握)(甘)(肃)(、西)(藏)(的)(具)(体)(数)(据)(,但)(是)(从)(去)(年)(这)(两)(个)(地)(区)(的)(月)(度)(数)(据)(来)(看)(,很)(可)(能)(接)(近)(上)(述)(三)(甲)(的)(水)(平)(。仅)(从)(已)(知)(数)(据)(看)(,只)(有)(青)(海)(的)(CPI涨)(幅)(达)(到)(了)(4%,新)(疆)(、宁)(夏)(、北)(京)(、内)(蒙)(古)(、天)(津)(、山)(西)(、云)(南)(、陕)(西)(、河)(北)(9省)((自)(治)(区)(、直)(辖)(市)()CPI涨)(幅)(达)(到)(或)(者)(超)(过)(3%,没)(有)(省)(份)(的)(CPI涨)(幅)(低)(于)(2%,最)(低)(的)(是)(山)(东)(、黑)(龙)(江)(、广)(西)(3省)((自)(治)(区)(、直)(辖)(市)()的)(2.2%。  如)(果)(将)(各)(地)(2013年)(CPI涨)(幅)(同)(2012年)(加)(以)(比)(较)(,除)(北)(京)(保)(持)(不)(变)(以)(外)(,19省)((自)(治)(区)(、直)(辖)(市)()涨)(幅)(出)(现)(扩)(大)(,其)(中)(宁)(夏)(最)(为)(突)(出)(,扩)(大)(了)(1.4个)(百)(分)(点)(;其)(次)(是)(青)(海)(,扩)(大)(了)(0.9个)(百)(分)(点)(;再)(随)(后)(是)(山)(西)(,0.6个)(百)(分)(点)(。同)(时)(,6省)((自)(治)(区)(、直)(辖)(市)()的)(2013年)(CPI涨)(幅)(只)(高)(出)(0.1个)(百)(分)(点)(。此)(外)(,也)(有)(9省)((自)(治)(区)(、直)(辖)(市)()CPI涨)(幅)(比)(2012年)(有)(所)(缩)(小)(,其)(中)(最)(典)(型)(的)(是)(黑)(龙)(江)(和)(广)(西)(,均)(回)(落)(1个)(百)(分)(点)(,上)(海)(下)(降)(了)(0.5个)(百)(分)(点)(。  虽)(然)(在)(2014年)(年)(初)(,经)(济)(减)(速)(的)(情)(况)(正)(在)(显)(性)(化)(,但)(是)(各)(方)(仍)(然)(认)(为)(今)(年)(的)(物)(价)(上)(涨)(压)(力)(会)(大)(于)(去)(年)(。如)(清)(华)(大)(学)(中)(国)(与)(世)(界)(经)(济)(研)(究)(中)(心)(主)(任)(李)(稻)(葵)(就)(说)(:“我)(们)(预)(计)(2014年)(的)(CPI会)(从)(5月)(开)(始)(持)(续)(在)(一)(个)(较)(高)(的)(水)(平)(,6月)(、7月)(达)(到)(4%左)(右)(,之)(后)(开)(始)(回)(落)(,年)(底)(收)(尾)(时)(再)(次)(上)(涨)(,预)(计)(全)(年)(为)(3.2%。短)(期)(来)(看)(,虽)(然)(粮)(食)(生)(产)(连)(年)(增)(产)(丰)(收)(,但)(应)(该)(看)(到)(增)(幅)(已)(经)(很)(小)(,加)(之)(今)(年)(暖)(冬)(,产)(粮)(区)(干)(燥)(少)(雪)(,今)(年)(的)(粮)(食)(价)(格)(会)(有)(较)(大)(的)(上)(行)(压)(力)(;从)(中)(期)(看)(,2014年)(是)(改)(革)(的)(开)(局)(之)(年)(,天)(然)(气)(等)(资)(源)(类)(价)(格)(改)(革)(年)(内)(推)(出)(的)(可)(能)(性)(很)(大)(,有)(可)(能)(成)(为)(2014年)(物)(价)(上)(涨)(的)(重)(要)(推)(手)(;从)(长)(期)(看)(,劳)(动)(力)(成)(本)(的)(逐)(步)(上)(升)(决)(定)(了)(未)(来)(五)(到)(十)(年)(的)(物)(价)(水)(平)(都)(会)(处)(在)(3%左)(右)(的)(温)(和)(上)(涨)(周)(期)(中)(。”  澳)(新)(银)(行)(大)(中)(华)(区)(首)(席)(经)(济)(师)(刘)(利)(刚)(持)(类)(似)(观)(点)(。他)(说)(,由)(于)(即)(将)(展)(开)(的)(物)(价)(改)(革)(可)(能)(推)(高)(商)(品)(和)(公)(共)(事)(业)(价)(格)(,CPI在)(下)(半)(年)(的)(上)(涨)(幅)(度)(可)(能)(超)(过)(3.5%。因)(此)(,我)(们)(认)(为)(全)(年)(的)(CPI涨)(幅)(将)(从)(2013年)(的)(2.6%上)(升)(到)(3.2%到)(3.4%的)(水)(平)(。  国)(家)(信)(息)(中)(心)(首)(席)(经)(济)(师)(范)(剑)(平)(也)(认)(为)(,2013年)(CPI的)(月)(度)(走)(势)(是)(前)(高)(后)(低)(的)(,预)(计)(将)(增)(加)(今)(年)(的)(翘)(尾)(因)(素)(0.5个)(百)(分)(点)(。这)(就)(意)(味)(着)(,即)(使)(今)(年)(新)(涨)(价)(因)(素)(和)(价)(格)(改)(革)(的)(力)(度)(跟)(去)(年)(一)(样)(,CPI也)(会)(达)(到)(3.2%的)(水)(平)(。“所)(以)(如)(果)(今)(年)(的)(调)(控)(目)(标)(和)(去)(年)(差)(不)(多)(,还)(在)(3.5%的)(话)(,那)(完)(成)(的)(难)(度)(就)(会)(比)(今)(年)(加)(大)(,还)(要)(把)(握)(好)(价)(格)(改)(革)(的)(力)(度)(和)(节)(奏)(”。  但)(各)(方)(对)(于)(今)(年)(全)(年)(CPI会)(否)(超)(过)(3%存)(有)(分)(歧)(。中)(国)(社)(会)(科)(学)(院)(经)(济)(所)(副)(所)(长)(张)(平)(对)(《经)(济)(参)(考)(报)(》记)(者)(表)(示)(,当)(前)(中)(国)(经)(济)(面)(临)(着)(严)(重)(的)(产)(能)(过)(剩)(问)(题)(,实)(体)(经)(济)(领)(域)(已)(经)(出)(现)(了)(连)(续)(22个)(月)(的)(价)(格)(负)(增)(长)(,这)(最)(终)(会)(传)(导)(至)(消)(费)(价)(格)(方)(面)(,预)(计)(2014年)(CPI同)(比)(增)(长)(2.8%。汇)(丰)(银)(行)(大)(中)(华)(区)(首)(席)(经)(济)(师)(屈)(宏)(斌)(判)(断)(,虽)(然)(中)(国)(2014年)(上)(半)(年)(的)(CPI涨)(幅)(可)(能)(维)(持)(在)(3%以)(上)(,但)(全)(年)(应)(低)(于)(3%。  作)(者)(:方)(烨)(夏)(丹)(荔)(
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